Market Definition
How your trade gets resolved
Resolved algorithmically — independent sources are checked on-chain against this market’s criteria, with no human deciding the outcome.
France’s far-right leader Bardella would win presidential election if held today, poll shows
The Guardian
Jordan Bardella Is the New Face of France’s Far Right
The New York Times
Who could replace Macron in 2027? The runners and riders
The Local France
French far-right leader Bardella would beat rivals in 2027 presidential vote, poll shows
Reuters
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election? is a politics prediction market on Prophecy, created by columb85#0. Trading is open with 309d 12h remaining and closes on April 30, 2027 at 11:19 PM UTC, after which it is resolved automatically.
The market has 6 possible outcomes. The current front-runners, by implied probability, are: Jordan Bardella (58%), Other (48%), Édouard Philippe (46%), Marine Le Pen (45%), Raphaël Glucksmann (43%), Gabriel Attal (37%).
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the candidate officially declared the winner of the 2027 French presidential election by the French Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel). If the named candidate wins, the market resolves to that option. If any other candidate wins, the market resolves to "Other". Prophecy markets are settled by an AI resolver that reads independent public sources — no human decides the outcome.
Resolution sources: news.google.com, france24.com, conseil-constitutionnel.fr.
