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On this pageGetting StartedPST — Prophecy Social TokenHow Markets WorkHow Resolution WorksFeaturesYour ProfileTruth ScoreEdge Score — What's Your Edge?Claiming WinningsFAQBuild Your Own Venue

Prophecy Social Docs

Prophecy Social is a free-to-play prediction game on Somnia, the Agentic L1 — covering sports, crypto, politics, and culture. Take a position, let the world play out, and watch AI rapidly resolves outcomes on-chain.

Powered by Somnia, PST (Prophecy Social Token)is the platform's non-tradeable token. Back a call, track your accuracy, and climb the leaderboard. Real prizes and rewards to be won.

On this page
Getting StartedPST — Prophecy Social TokenHow Markets WorkHow Resolution WorksFeaturesYour ProfileTruth ScoreEdge Score — What's Your Edge?Claiming WinningsFAQBuild Your Own Venue

Getting Started

Sign in

You can sign in with FaceID, email, Discord, Google, Twitter/X, or an existing crypto wallet. A Somnia wallet is created automatically if you don't have one.

Your initial PST grant

Upon sign up, you will receive a one-time PST grant from the Somnia ecosystem. This grant is tied to your account, not to this venue — if you've already signed up via another venue on the same platform, you won't receive a second grant.

Daily bonus

Once signed in, claim your daily bonus. A fixed amount of PST is added to your balance every 24 hours. The bonus is cross-venue — one claim per day across every venue in the Somnia ecosystem. If you've already claimed today on another platform, it resets the following day.

PST — Prophecy Social Token

PST is the in-game token that powers every prediction on Prophecy Social.

Soulbound
PST cannot be transferred, traded, or sold. It lives in your account and exists purely to make markets work. This keeps the game fair and genuinely free-to-play.
No real-world value
PST is a play-money token on Somnia. It cannot be converted to any currency.

How you earn PST

  1. Initial grant — one-time, on first sign-up, cross-venue
  2. Daily bonus — one claim per day, cross-venue
  3. Winning predictions — your stake returns plus winnings when a market resolves in your favour
  4. Market creation rewards — a share of trading activity on markets you create

How you spend PST

  • Predicting — your stake goes into the market pool when you take a position
  • Creating a market — costs 150 PST to cover on-chain costs and agent deposits

How Markets Work

AI-Resolved Markets

Every market is resolved by independent AI agents with no human moderator and no disputes. The AI oracles on Somnia Network fetch real-world evidence, reach consensus, and close the market in seconds.

The Caliber Rating

Every market carries a quality score before you predict. The Caliber rates each market on source reliability and question precision, so you know which markets are rock-solid before you take a position.

Live Leaderboards

Your prediction record is public and permanent. Track your accuracy, climb the ranks, and prove your edge against the crowd. Every correct call updates your score in real time.

On-Chain Resolution Receipts

After every market closes, you can inspect the full resolution trail. See which sources the agents consulted, what they found, and how each agent voted. Every outcome is auditable and nothing is hidden.

Gasless Trading on Somnia

No gas fees and no wallet management. Predict in one tap and Somnia's infrastructure handles everything in the background at up to 1M transactions per second.

Social Sharing

Screenshot your call before the market closes. Post your leaderboard rank. Tag the outcome when you're right. Prophecy Social is built to be shown off.

How Resolution Works

Overview

AI resolution is what makes Prophecy Social unique from other platforms. When a market's trading window closes, AI agents resolve it automatically — and you can audit the entire process.

The resolution process

  1. Trading closes — the countdown hits zero and no more positions are accepted
  2. Agents activate — multiple independent AI agents fetch evidence from real-world sources including news APIs, price oracles, and public data feeds
  3. Evidence evaluated— each agent assesses the evidence against the market's resolution criteria and produces a vote with reasoning attached
  4. Consensus reached — agents must agree before anything is committed. The required threshold and method are visible on every market
  5. Outcome set on-chain — the winning outcome is recorded permanently on the Somnia blockchain and winners can claim

What you can inspect

Every resolved market shows a full resolution receipt — a step-by-step record of how agents reached their conclusion, including which sources were consulted, what they found, and how each agent voted.

The resolution graph visualises this as a diagram where data flows from sources through agent evaluation nodes to consensus. Click into any node to read the raw evidence and reasoning behind it.

This transparency is intentional. Prediction markets are only worth playing if you trust the resolution. We show our working so you can form your own view on whether the resolution was correct.

If a market can't be resolved

If agents cannot reach consensus or find insufficient evidence, the market settles at the last known price position. Each trader's PST payout reflects the value of their shares at the point resolution was attempted — not a return of their original stake.

Features

AI-Resolved Markets

Every market is resolved by independent AI agents — no human moderator, no disputes. The AI oracles on Somnia Network fetch real-world evidence, reach consensus, and close the market in seconds.

The Caliber Rating

Every market carries a quality score before you predict. The Caliber rates each market on source reliability and question precision — so you know which markets are rock-solid before you take a position.

Live Leaderboards

Your prediction record is public and permanent. Track your accuracy, climb the ranks, and prove your edge against the crowd — every correct call updates your score in real time.

On-Chain Resolution Receipts

After every market closes, you can inspect the full resolution trail — which sources the agents consulted, what they found, and how each agent voted. Every outcome is auditable. Nothing is hidden.

Your Profile

Your profile is your prediction track record — public, permanent, and on-chain.

It shows your current leaderboard rank, total predictions made, accuracy rate across resolved markets, and your full prediction history. Every market you have taken a position on is listed with the outcome and your P&L for that market.

Your active markets show your current positions and unrealised P&L based on live prices. Your resolved markets show your full history, including wins, losses, and the resolution receipt for each.

Your streak is tracked automatically. Consecutive days with at least one prediction keeps your streak alive.

Truth Score

Truth Score is the headline metric on your profile and the basis for the global leaderboard. It rolls four signals into a single number so a single hot streak or one lucky bet can't carry you to the top.

What it measures

  • Accuracy with confidence— your win rate, scaled by how many markets you've actually resolved. A great record on three trades doesn't outrank a great record on three hundred.
  • Volume— a participation bonus for consistently taking positions, capped so it can't drown out skill.
  • Profit and loss— your realised PST P&L on a signed log scale, clamped at ±20 so a single huge market can't dominate the score.
  • Recent form — your last few weeks of trading, weighted in so a hot or cold streak is visible.

How to read it

Higher is better. A high Truth Score means you've resolved enough markets to be statistically reliable, you've been right more often than not, you've ended up profitable, and your recent calls are holding up. The leaderboard ranks on this number, and your category breakdown applies the same calculation per category — so you can see where you're genuinely sharp versus where you're guessing.

Edge Score — What's Your Edge?

Truth Score tells you whether you're winning. Edge Score tells you how often the market got it wrong on the side you backed. It's the metric forecasters care about: do your entries systematically beat market price, or do you ride consensus?

How it's calculated

For each resolved position, edge per share = (your side won? 1 : 0) − your entry price for that side. Buy YES at 20¢ and YES wins → edge = +0.80. Buy YES at 80¢ and YES wins → edge = +0.20. Buy NO at 60¢ (so YES at 40¢) and NO wins → edge = +0.40.

Your overall Edge Score is the sum of edge across every resolved position, weighted toward recent predictions. A 7-day half-life means a prediction is worth half as much after a week, and ~12% after a month. Skill + activity + recency in one number.

What this captures

The sum rewards both quality and quantity: a single lucky long-shot win contributes at most +0.9, but a consistent forecaster making hundreds of small-edge predictions piles up a much larger total. The recency weighting means you can't coast on a strong early streak — staying inactive bleeds your score by ~50% per week.

How to read it

Higher is better. Zero is the natural “no edge” line. Negative means you're paying for outcomes that don't pan out. Practical ranges in a 30-day-old season:

  • > 50 — exceptional: top of leaderboard, high-volume + positive edge
  • 20 to 50 — strong forecaster
  • 5 to 20 — steady positive contribution
  • 0 to 5 — early days, keep predicting
  • < 0 — current predictions are losing value

The calibration curve

Your profile plots your entries in ten buckets by the price you took your side at — 0–10%, 10–20%, and so on. The Y-axis shows how often your side actually won in each bucket. Dots colored greensit above the diagonal: at that price range, your side wins more than the market predicted — that's captured edge. Dots colored redsit below: you're overpaying for those entries. Dot size scales with how many resolved markets are in the bucket, so you can tell which buckets you have real signal in.

When it shows up

Edge Score appears as soon as you have one resolved prediction. Because the score is a decayed sum, a single lucky win can't put you at the top — you need volume and recency. The leaderboard rank settles in as your sample grows.

Claiming Winnings

When a market resolves in your favour, your winnings are credited automatically to your PST balance. The contract settles and your balance updates without any action required.

For markets where you held the winning outcome, your original stake returns plus your profit from the pool. You can see the full breakdown in your profile under resolved markets.

If a market fails to resolve because agents could not reach consensus or found insufficient evidence, the market settles at the last known price. Your payout reflects the value of your shares at that moment — not a return of your original stake.

FAQ

What is Prophecy Social?
A free-to-play prediction game on the Somnia blockchain. You predict real-world outcomes, AI agents resolve every market on-chain, and your accuracy earns you PST.
Is there real money involved?
No. Prophecy Social uses PST (Prophecy Social Token), a soulbound play-money token. It has no real-world value and cannot be sold, traded, or transferred. Think of it as your score, not your wallet.
How does AI resolution work?
When a market's trading window closes, multiple independent AI agents fetch evidence from real-world sources including news APIs, price feeds, and public data. Each agent produces a vote with reasoning attached. If the agents reach consensus, the outcome is set on-chain. You can inspect the full resolution receipt on every closed market.
What happens if the AI can't resolve a market?
If agents cannot reach consensus or find insufficient evidence, the market settles at the last known price position. Payouts reflect the value of your shares at that point, not a return of your stake.
Do I need a crypto wallet to play?
No. You can sign up with FaceID, email, Google, or X. A Somnia wallet is created automatically and you do not need to manage it or pay gas fees.
What is PST?
Prophecy Social Token is the in-game currency that powers every prediction on Prophecy Social. It is soulbound, meaning it lives in your account and cannot leave. You earn it through correct predictions, daily bonuses, and market creation.
What is the daily bonus?
Once per day you can claim a free PST bonus from the animated button in the header. It is cross-venue — one bonus per day across the entire Somnia ecosystem.
What is the Caliber rating?
The Caliber is an independent market quality scoring service. It evaluates each market on how reliably it can be resolved, rating source quality and question precision. Higher-rated markets have clearer and more verifiable resolution criteria.
What is Truth Score?
The headline metric on your profile and the basis for the leaderboard. It combines win rate (scaled by how many markets you've resolved), a volume bonus, your realised P&L on a log scale, and recent form. Higher is better. No single signal can dominate — you need accuracy, consistency, and durable performance to climb.
What is Edge Score and how is it different from Truth Score?
Edge per position = (your side won? 1 : 0) − your entry price for that side. Edge Score is the sum of edge across all your resolved predictions, weighted toward the last 2 weeks (7-day half-life). Higher is better, zero is parity with the market. Truth Score asks “are you winning and profitable overall?” Edge Score asks “are you currently active and finding mispricings the market hasn't?” The recency weighting means staying inactive bleeds your score, so the leaderboard always reflects current form.
Why don't I see an Edge Score yet?
Edge Score appears as soon as you have one resolved prediction. If your card still shows “—”, none of your predictions have resolved yet — give the markets time to close.
Can I build my own venue?
Yes. The Prophecy Protocol is open infrastructure. KOLs and builders can deploy their own branded prediction venue using the same backend and token. See Build Your Own Venue above.

Build Your Own Venue

KOLs

Your community already has opinions. Give them somewhere to prove it — and give yourself the data.

A Prophecy Social venue puts your brand on a live prediction platform. Your markets, your leaderboard, your categories. Your community predicts under your name and you get a live dashboard showing exactly how they are engaging — total predictions, accuracy rates, most active players, and top markets.

Every week your top predictors get ranked publicly. That is a content format your audience creates for you.

The Prophecy team builds your venue with you. You are not configuring infrastructure — you are choosing your brand, your categories, and your first batch of markets.

What you get

  • A branded venue live in days
  • Your community's prediction data in a real-time dashboard
  • Weekly leaderboard content ready to post
  • Rewards programme access for your players from day one
  • Prophecy team support through setup and launch
Apply to launch your venue

Builders

Fork the repo. Deploy your venue. Ship to an audience that is already there.

The Prophecy Protocol is open infrastructure. The smart contracts, resolution agents, and token mechanics that power Prophecy Social are available for any builder to deploy on top of. You bring the concept and we provide the backend, the token, and a live community to launch into.

The Builder Kit includes smart contract templates, economics models, and full deployment documentation. The first venues to deploy receive a PST allocation from the Builder pool.

Prophecy Social's existing user base means your venue does not launch into an empty room. You are plugging into a live prediction ecosystem, not starting from scratch.

What you get

  • Access to the Builder Kit including contracts, templates, and documentation
  • Shared backend infrastructure and the Prophecy Social token
  • Build-a-thon enrolment with prizes for the first production deployments
  • Token allocation bonus for early deployment
  • Technical support from the Prophecy team
Apply to build

Brands

Prediction markets are the most direct measure of what your audience actually believes — not what they say they believe.

A branded Prophecy Social venue gives you a live engagement layer that runs on top of your content calendar. A product launch, a campaign outcome, an industry call — turn any forward-looking question into a market your community can take a position on, and watch the data come in before the event even happens.

Every market close is a content moment. Every leaderboard update is a reason to come back. Every resolved prediction is a proof point your brand called correctly — or your community did.

This is not a sponsorship slot. It is a venue with your name on it.

What you get

  • A branded prediction venue tied to your content or campaign
  • Real-time audience intelligence on what your community actually thinks happens next
  • Weekly and campaign-level leaderboard content
  • White-glove setup with the Prophecy team
  • Rewards programme access for your audience
Get in touch