Technology Prediction Markets

Live and resolved Technology prediction markets on Prophecy. New markets appear here automatically as they're created.

Will an OpenAI model be in the top 3 of the arena.ai Text leaderboard on 31 December 2026?
Which lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard (overall, no style control) on 31 December 2026?
Will a Google model be ranked #1 on arena.ai Text leaderboard by 23:59 UTC on 31 December 2026?
Will a Chinese lab model be in top 5 of arena.ai Text leaderboard on 31 December 2026?
Will an Anthropic model be ranked #1 on arena.ai Text leaderboard at 23:59 UTC on 31 December 2026?
Will an OpenAI model be in the top 3 of the arena.ai Text leaderboard on 30 November 2026?
Which lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on 30 November 2026?
Will a Google model be ranked #1 on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on 30 November 2026?
Will a Chinese lab model be in top 5 of arena.ai Text leaderboard on 30 November 2026?
Will an Anthropic model be ranked #1 on arena.ai Text leaderboard (overall, no style control) on 30 November 2026?
What will be the strongest AI governance mandate adopted by UNGA First or Sixth Committee by November 25, 2026?
Will SpaceX's valuation hit $1.45T by June 30, 2026?
Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report above 3.4 billion Trips in Q2?
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Which nuclear power company will achieve criticality before August 2026?
Will Electronic Arts announce the close of its take-private acquisition before August 1, 2026?
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in July 2026?
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.25 in July 2026?
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August 2026?
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August 2026?
Which nuclear power company will achieve criticality before August 2026?
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
Will Leonxlnx/taste-skill reach 60,000 stars on GitHub by June 23, 2026?
Will OpenAI release GPT-5.6 before July 31, 2026?
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22, 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked Chinese AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Which company will own the model with the second-highest arena rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 times on X from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Which company will own the top-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will SpaceX's closing share price on the last trading day of its IPO month be greater than or equal to its first day's closing price?
Will ClickHouse/ClickHouse reach 60,000 stars on GitHub by June 20, 2026?
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800 billion on June 30, 2026?
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans (or its parent company) by June 30, 2026?
What will Gwynne Shotwell say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street?
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO by December 31, 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Which company will have the highest ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on June 30, 2026?
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before July 1, 2026?
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Which company will have the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on June 30, 2026?
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30, 2026?
Will Meta have the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Will FedEx Corporation report above 17.4 million average daily package volume in Q4 2026?
Will FedEx Corporation report above 17.6 million average daily package volume in Q4 2026?
Will Carnival Corporation report above 24.3 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?
Will Baidu have the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked Math AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Which company will have the best Math AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Which company will own the #3 AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (Style Control On) at the end of June 2026?
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Will SpaceX's valuation hit $3.5T by June 30, 2026?
Which company will have the best AI model according to the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026?
Will Databricks complete an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by June 30, 2026?
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Which company will own the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market capitalization on June 30, 2026?
Will SpaceX launch another Starship by July 16, 2026?
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit $1.25 trillion by June 30, 2026?
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026?
What will Matt Murphy say during the Marvell CEO Keynote at ComputeX Taipei?
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026?
Which company will have the largest market capitalization at market close on June 30, 2026?
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026?
Which company will have the best AI model according to the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will SpaceX's valuation hit $2.0T by June 30, 2026?
Will Tesla and SpaceX officially announce a merger or acquisition by June 30, 2026?
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026?
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026?
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of June 2026?
Will a Chinese AI model be ranked #1 on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard by June 30, 2026?
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026?
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026?
What will be the change in the Federal Funds Rate (upper bound) after the June 2026 FOMC meeting?
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before July 1, 2026?
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty before July 1, 2026?
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z?
Will Travis Scott release a new album before July 1, 2026?
Will marijuana be rescheduled by July 1, 2026?
Will any tech company announce a one-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before July 1, 2026?
Will Anthropic release Mythos before July 1, 2026?
How many New York Knicks playoff games will Timothée Chalamet attend in the 2026 season?
Will Costco Wholesale Corporation report above 149 million total cardholders in Q3 2026?
Will Anthropic release a model called Claude 5 or greater before June 1, 2026?
Will Anthropic release an AI model named 'Claude 5' or greater before June 1, 2026?