Technology Prediction Markets

Live and resolved Technology prediction markets on Prophecy. New markets appear here automatically as they're created.

Will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35 before August 28, 2026?
What was Spotify Technology S.A.'s reported MAU in Q2 2026?
What was Chipotle's Q2 2026 comparable sales increase?
What was Starbucks' comparable transactions growth percentage in Q3 2026?
How many points will the Hacker News post have on 2026-07-15 00:01:17 UTC?
How many points will the Hacker News post have on 2026-07-14?
How many posts will Elon Musk make on X from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
How many points will the "Telegram's t.me domain has been suspended" Hacker News post have at resolution?
How many points will the Hacker News post ID 48894752 have on 2026-07-14?
How many points will the "Show HN: Clawk" post have on 2026-07-14?
How many points will the Hacker News post have at resolution?
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company by market cap on July 31, 2026?
Who will have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will the Hacker News post "Zig Creator Calls Spade a Spade, Anthropic Blows Smoke" reach 250 points or more?
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report above 4180 total restaurant count in Q2 2026?
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report above 4170 total restaurant count in Q2 2026?
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access by July 19?
Will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35 before August 21, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?
Who will own the AI model with the second-highest rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Which company will have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 times on X from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?
Who will own the AI model with the second-highest arena rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026?
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 (inclusive) on July 31, 2026?
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Who will be the second-largest company by market cap on July 31, 2026?
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report above 4150 total restaurant count in Q2 2026?
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
Will OpenAI have the top-ranked AI agent on the Agent Arena Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July 2026?
Will Tesla be the second-largest company by market cap on July 31, 2026?
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 (inclusive) on July 31, 2026?
Will Southwest Airlines Company report above $231 average passenger fare in Q2 2026?
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report above 4160 total restaurant count in Q2 2026?
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 times on X between July 10 and July 17, 2026?
Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 31, 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked Math AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on July 31, 2026?
Will Southwest Airlines Company report above $225 average passenger fare in Q2 2026?
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report above 3% comparable restaurant sales increase in Q2 2026?
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report above 2% comparable restaurant sales increase in Q2 2026?
Will xAI release Grok 4.4 (or a direct successor to Grok 4.3) by July 17, 2026?
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 by July 31, 2026?
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report above 1% comparable restaurant sales increase in Q2 2026?
Will xAI release Grok 4.4 (or a direct successor) by July 17, 2026?
Will xAI have the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Philip Morris International Inc. report above 160 million Zyn US shipment volume in Q2 2026?
Will Philip Morris International Inc report above 195 million Zyn US shipment volume in Q2 2026?
Will Philip Morris International Inc report above 190 million Zyn US shipment volume in Q2 2026?
Will Philip Morris International Inc report above 185 million ZYN US shipment volume in Q2 2026?
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Claude experience 3-5 days of downtime in July 2026?
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?
Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31, 2026?
Who will have the best AI agent at the end of July 2026?
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked Chinese AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on July 31, 2026?
Which company will have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will SpaceX launch another Starship rocket by August 16, 2026?
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Will OpenAI release GPT-5.6 by July 17, 2026?
Will the FDA approve Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa by August 6, 2026?
Will OpenAI release GPT-5.6 by July 31, 2026?
Will Meta have the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will Google have the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Which company will own the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on July 31, 2026?
Which company will have the best Math AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap at market close on July 31, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Will there be no new Google Gemini Pro model released by July 31, 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked Chinese AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Which company will have the largest market capitalization at market close on July 31, 2026?
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026?
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report above 48.5 million passengers in Q2 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Which company will have the best AI model according to the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on July 31, 2026?
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of July 2026, according to the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?
Will the FDA approve Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug by July 14, 2026?
Will SpaceX's valuation hit $1.45T by June 30, 2026?
Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report above 3.4 billion Trips in Q2?
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Which nuclear power company will achieve criticality before August 2026?
Will Electronic Arts announce the close of its take-private acquisition before August 1, 2026?
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in July 2026?
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.25 in July 2026?
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August 2026?
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August 2026?
Which nuclear power company will achieve criticality before August 2026?
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
Will Leonxlnx/taste-skill reach 60,000 stars on GitHub by June 23, 2026?
Will OpenAI release GPT-5.6 before July 31, 2026?
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?