Politics Prediction Markets

Live and resolved Politics prediction markets on Prophecy. New markets appear here automatically as they're created.

How many 2026 US House races will remain uncalled by AP as of Nov 17, 2026?
Who will finish in the top two positions by vote count in Louisiana's 6th Congressional District election?
What will the Democratic candidate's vote share be in Alabama's 2nd District 2026 election?
By which date will the new FBiH government be confirmed by the House of Representatives?
What will be the official preliminary nationwide voter turnout percentage for the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina general elections?
Will the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina general election polling day commence on October 4, 2026?
Will a formal draft resolution supporting Taiwan's participation in the UN system be officially tabled in UNGA 81 Main Committee or Plenary?
When will the 81st UNGA General Debate formally close?
Will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution endorsing a peace framework or territorial integrity mandate for Ukraine during its 81st session by December 31, 2026?
Who will receive the most valid votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
What percentage of votes will be blank or null in 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round?
Who will win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Who will win the most first-round presidential votes in Minas Gerais?
Who will be approved as Sweden's prime minister in the 2026 Riksdag vote?
By what date will Länsstyrelsen Dalarna certify a successor for Mohamed Abdukardir Ali's seat?
What will be the margin of the leading party in the November 3, 2026 generic ballot?
How many seats will Republicans hold in the 120th US Senate?
Who will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia?
Who will win the 2026 US Senate election in Maine?
How many seats will Republicans win in 2026 US House Midterms?
What will be the Democratic Party's lead in the FiveThirtyEight generic congressional ballot polling average on October 31, 2026?
How many voting seats will Republicans hold in the 120th US House?
Will the AP project an independent or third-party candidate as the winner of a US House seat before 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026?
Which party will hold majority control of the US House of Representatives in 2026?
How many independent or third-party members will be in the 120th US House of Representatives?
By what date will a wealth tax-related L-document be circulated in UNGA 81st Session's Second Committee?
How many UN Secretary-General candidates will be nominated by October 15, 2026?
How many PM voting rounds will Riksdag hold before 2026 winter recess?
By what date will the Riksdag hold its first successful Prime Ministerial vote after the 2026 election?
Who will be the Riksdag Speaker for the 2026-2030 session?
Who will open the 2026/2027 Riksdag session?
How many US House races will remain uncalled by AP as of Dec 1, 2026?
When will the DOJ file its first lawsuit regarding 2026 election certification?
Will an Arizona court order a county board of supervisors to certify its November 2026 election results after a refusal or failure to meet the statutory deadline?
Will the AP project a majority winner for the US House of Representatives by 12:00 PM ET on November 10, 2026?
Who will be elected Speaker of the US House of Representatives on the first ballot?
How much will the Democratic nominee for Alabama's 2nd district report in October 2026 FEC receipts?
Which court system will issue an order to strike down or alter Florida's congressional map by October 21, 2026?
How many US House seats will hold general elections on November 3, 2026?
Who will win majority control of the US House of Representatives in the 2026 midterms?
Which state will have the highest early vote total by October 26, 2026?
What was the total early votes reported by UFL or Georgia SOS as of Oct 20, 2026?
Will registered Republicans cast a larger share of combined early votes than registered Democrats in Nevada as reported on October 31, 2026?
Will Daniel Barenboim or the West-Eastern Divan Orchestra be awarded the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
What was the Democratic Party's lead in the FiveThirtyEight Generic Congressional Ballot average on October 15, 2026?
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold at start of 120th Congress?
What will the Republican candidate's vote share be in the 2026 Georgia US Senate election?
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia US Senate election?
How many times will "Iran" appear in Israeli UNGA 81 speech transcript?
Who will be the leader of the Swedish Moderate Party on January 1, 2027?
Will Center Party MPs vote Yes, No, Abstain, or not vote in the first PM confirmation vote?
Will Magdalena Andersson be approved as Prime Minister in the first confirmation vote after the 2026 election?
By what date will King Mohammed VI appoint the new Head of Government after the 2026 Moroccan legislative elections?
When will King Mohammed VI appoint the next Head of Government after the 2026 elections?
How many seats will RNI win in Morocco's 2026 House of Representatives?
How many seats will PJD win in 2026 Moroccan legislative election?
What will be the official voter turnout percentage for the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina general election?
Who will secure the most valid votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
By what date will TSE confirm Brazil's 2026 president?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva participate in the TV Globo presidential debate on October 1, 2026?
What global AI governance framework will be adopted or opened for signature at the UN 2026 High-Level Week?
Will the US delegation walk out during Russia's 2026 UNGA address?
Will a G7 nation announce a climate finance pledge over $1 billion at UNGA 81?
Which UN principal organs will hold a formal floor vote on a draft resolution referencing Israel, Palestine, or Gaza during the 81st UNGA High-Level General Debate?
How many seats will United Russia win in the 2026 State Duma election?
Will the next FIFA Council meeting on or after Sept 19, 2026, discuss a $10M payout per member?
By what date will the Riksdag confirm a new Prime Minister after the 2026 election?
Will the Riksdag adopt an opposition reservation for the 2027 state budget framework?
Will the Center Party hold a ministerial post in the first cabinet after the 2026 Swedish election?
How many seats will the Social Democrats receive in Valmyndigheten's 2026 election certification?
Will Magdalena Andersson pass the first Prime Ministerial confirmation vote?
Who will win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Will Magdalena Andersson be the first candidate proposed for Prime Minister by the Speaker after the 2026 election?
When will the 2026 Riksdag confirm a Prime Minister?
What will the CEC/CIK announce as the preliminary national voter turnout percentage for the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina general elections?
Will the CIK certify a HDZ BiH candidate as winner of Croat Presidency seat in 2026 general election?
Who will lead Bosniak Presidency preliminary count on October 5, 2026?
What was the percentage point difference between first and second place in Minas Gerais 2026 presidential runoff?
What percentage of valid votes will Lula receive in 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round?
What was the valid vote share of the first-placed candidate in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
How many seats did the winning party secure in the 2026 Moroccan House of Representatives?
How many combined seats did RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal secure in 2026 Moroccan elections?
When will King Mohammed VI appoint the Head of Government after the 2026 Moroccan general election?
Which party will win the most seats in Casablanca-Settat region in 2026 Moroccan election?
Will Morocco hold its legislative election for the House of Representatives on September 23, 2026?
Who will the Riksdag Speaker propose as Prime Ministerial candidate for 2026-2030?
How many mandates were the right-wing bloc allocated in Sweden's 2026 election?
Will a member of the Left Party (Vänsterpartiet) be appointed as a cabinet minister in the Swedish government formed after the 2026 Riksdag election?
When will Claudio Tapia's AFA presidency end?
Will the Center Party hold at least one ministerial post in the 2026-2030 Riksdag cabinet?
Which party will be the second largest in the Riksdag by total seats in the 2026 election?
Which UN Security Council veto reform will be supported in G4 joint statement at 81st UNGA?
Will the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be held on October 4, 2026?
Will the first round of the 2026 Brazilian general election commence on October 4, 2026?
When will the next FOMC meeting have two or more dissenting votes?
When will Claudio Tapia permanently vacate the AFA Presidency?
Which UN Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General formally represent?
Will the US President address the UN General Assembly in person on the first day of the 81st General Debate?
Will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution appointing the next Secretary-General before November 1, 2026?
When will the Swedish Riksdag elect a Prime Minister after the 2026 election?