Politics Prediction Markets

Live and resolved Politics prediction markets on Prophecy. New markets appear here automatically as they're created.

What was the closing price of Brent Crude Oil (USD/Bbl) on July 14, 2026?
What will be the main topic on Rachel Maddow's show on August 4, 2026?
Will Donald Trump speak about Ukraine on Fox & Friends on 2026-07-28?
What will Donald Trump say on Fox & Friends on 2026-07-28?
What will Donald Trump discuss on Fox & Friends on 2026-07-28?
What will Donald Trump discuss on Fox & Friends, 2026-07-28?
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" 5 or more times during his appearance on Fox News: Fox & Friends on 2026-07-28?
Will Trump say "afford", "affordable", or "affordability" on Fox & Friends, 2026-07-28?
Will Donald Trump mention NATO during his appearance on Fox & Friends by July 28, 2026?
Will Trump say "Endorse", "Endorsed", or "Endorsement" on Fox & Friends July 28, 2026?
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17, 2026?
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Allah by July 31, 2026?
Will Ro Khanna say "Trump" 3 or more times on Meet the Press on 2026-07-27?
Will David Muir say "NATO" during ABC World News Tonight on 2026-07-24?
Will Mojtaba Khamenei cease to be Iran's de facto leader by July 31, 2026?
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31, 2026?
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31, 2026?
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31, 2026?
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31, 2026?
Will a formal senior-level round of US-Iran diplomatic talks begin by July 31, 2026?
Will a formal senior-level diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran begin by July 17, 2026?
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31, 2026?
Will Iran charge Hormuz fees by July 15, 2026?
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31, 2026?
Will Israel close its airspace by July 15, 2026?
What will Donald Trump say during the press conference in Turkey?
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31, 2026?
Will Donald Trump make a statement during the Bilateral Meeting with the President of the Republic of Turkey?
Will Donald Trump mention the F-35 fighter jet program during his meeting with Turkey's president?
Will Donald Trump say 'Russia' or 'Russian' during the Bilateral Meeting with Turkey's President?
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31, 2026?
Will Donald Trump endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before August 18, 2026?
Will Candace Owens endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before August 18, 2026?
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31, 2026?
Will the US and Iran sign a final nuclear deal by July 31, 2026?
Will Iran initiate a full airspace closure by July 15, 2026?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?
Will Donald Trump cease to be President by July 31, 2026?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Will the US CPI year-over-year for July 2026 be exactly 3.6%?
Will the US CPI core month-over-month for July 2026 be exactly 0.1%?
Will the CPI core month-over-month for July 2026 be exactly 0.2%?
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Strait of Hormuz return to 60 or above by July 31, 2026?
Will the year-over-year Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July 2026 be exactly 3.4%?
What will Donald Trump say during the podcast with the Second Lady?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
What will Zohran Mamdani say during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?
What will be the change in Fed interest rates (upper bound of target federal funds range) after the July 2026 FOMC meeting?
Will the CPI core year-over-year be exactly 2.8% for July 2026?
Will the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year for July 2026 be exactly 2.9%?
Will the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rise more than -0.3% in July 2026?
Will the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rise more than 0.0% in July 2026?
Will the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rise more than 0.1% in July 2026?
Will the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rise more than 0.2% in July 2026?
Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in July 2026?
Will Nicole Saphier be confirmed as Surgeon General before August 8, 2026?
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal (7-day moving average of transit calls >= 60) by July 15, 2026?
Will Donald Trump mention China during the White House Correspondents' Dinner on July 24th, 2026?
Will Donald Trump mention "Israel" or "Israeli" during the White House Correspondents' Dinner on July 24th, 2026?
Will Donald Trump attend the White House Correspondents' Dinner on July 24th, 2026?
Will Donald Trump say "cheat", "cheater", or "cheating" during the White House Correspondents' Dinner on July 24th, 2026?
Will Donald Trump mention 'Epstein' during the White House Correspondents' Dinner on July 24th, 2026?
Will the US Senate vote on the SAVE America Act by August 8, 2026?
Will the ADP employment change for July 2026 be above 50,000?
Will above 30,000 jobs be added in July 2026?
Will the unadjusted unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in July 2026?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil hike interest rates by more than 50 basis points at the August 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Will Israel close its airspace by July 15, 2026?
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Where will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting take place by June 30, 2026?
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Will JD Vance say something during the press briefing by the Vice President JD Vance?
What will JD Vance say during the Press Briefing by the Vice President JD Vance?
What will JD Vance say during the Press Briefing by the Vice President on 2026-07-03?
Will JD Vance say "Gas / Gasoline" during the Press Briefing by the Vice President JD Vance?
Will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence before August 1, 2026?
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30, 2026?
Will a budget resolution pass the House before August 1, 2026?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Okello T. Chatrie in Chatrie v. United States by August 1, 2026?
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30, 2026?
Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Aug 1, 2026?
Will the Supreme Court bar counting mail ballots received after Election Day by August 1, 2026?
Will an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before August 1, 2026?
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August 2026?
Will Donald Trump visit Iran before August 1, 2026?
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?
Will Iran agree to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Donald J. Trump in Trump v. Miot?
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Jason Wolford in Wolford v. Lopez?
Will a crypto market structure bill become law before August 1, 2026?
Will Keir Starmer be out as UK Prime Minister by June 30, 2026?
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-08-01?
Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Aug 1, 2026?
Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before August 1, 2026?
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) position before August 1, 2026?
Will Trump's first announced Attorney General pick be confirmed as Attorney General before Aug 1, 2026?