Politics Prediction Markets

Live and resolved Politics prediction markets on Prophecy. New markets appear here automatically as they're created.

What courtesy bussing policy will apply to students within 2 miles of Union Valley Elementary for 2026-2027?
Will Gloucester Township Public Schools adopt an opt-in or restricted-access policy for elementary library materials by December 31, 2026?
How many U.S. House districts had only one major party candidate on the general election ballot in November 2026?
Who will control the U.S. House and win the popular vote in 2026?
What was the net seat change for the Democratic Party in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
Will the US announce the end of the Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
Will any US state begin early in-person voting for the 2026 general election on or before September 30?
Will registered Republicans cast more early and mail ballots than Democrats in Nevada before 2026 Election Day?
When will a federal appellate court or U.S. Supreme Court issue a ruling or emergency stay on ballot drop box access in a key swing state for the 2026 midterms?
What was the VEP voter turnout rate in the 2026 US midterm elections?
Will the US Supreme Court's October Term 2026 formally begin on October 5, 2026?
Which abortion-related legal conflict will be first to get SCOTUS cert in 2026-2027?
By what date will SCOTUS take first merits action on interstate abortion travel restriction petition?
Will Donald Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?
What will be the furthest step toward a full hand-count of the 2026 Arizona General Election?
By what date will a federal court first grant an injunction to halt a state's voter roll purge program?
Will California expand 'gravely disabled' definition for involuntary commitment beyond SB 43 by December 31, 2027?
Which US Federal Judiciary level will rule on a state UBI/guaranteed income ban by 2027?
How many states will have Medicaid work requirements waivers on Medicaid.gov as of Jan 1, 2027?
Will the US announce the end of the Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
When will first Pennsylvania county begin dispatching 2026 general election mail-in ballots?
Will the US Supreme Court issue an emergency ruling on ballot drop boxes before Election Day 2026?
Will Kevin Warsh say "Restrictive" at his September 2026 press conference?
Will Sweden declare a state of emergency due to gang violence before the 2026 general election?
How many seats will Tidö parties secure in 2026 Riksdag election?
What will Donald Trump say during the Roundtable on American Mining?
What will the DCCC and NRCC's total Q3 2026 FEC receipts be?
When will Trump hold first rally between Aug 8 and Nov 3, 2026, in a state with Republican senator not attending?
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?
Will there be a total internet blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
Who will overturn an August 2026 primary initial winner at which government level?
Which federal court will issue the highest ruling on a 2026 midterm election certification dispute by year-end 2026?
By what date will the final 2026 midterm statewide race be certified?
Will HHS be funded by a CR on October 1, 2026?
Which states will tie homelessness funding to encampment sweeps by March 31, 2027?
How many times was 'Trump' mentioned on ABC World News Tonight, 2026-08-21?
Will 'McConnell' be mentioned on ABC World News Tonight with David Muir on 2026-08-20?
Will a US Federal Court of Appeals or the US Supreme Court issue an order restricting or banning ballot drop boxes for the 2026 general election on or before November 3, 2026?
Will the total early votes (mail and in-person) in 2026 US midterms be >= 42 million?
What was the percentage of total early and absentee votes in the 2026 US midterms cast by voters ages 18-29 nationally?
By which date will 30 million early votes be recorded in 2026 US midterms?
Will Kevin Warsh mention "Consumer Confidence" at his September 2026 press conference?
What was the Centre Party's national vote percentage in the 2026 Swedish election?
Which 'at-risk' party will get the lowest national popular vote share in the 2026 Swedish election?
Who will be elected Prime Minister of Sweden in 2026?
Will the Sweden Democrats hold at least one official ministerial position in the Swedish Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
Will Kevin Warsh say 'Balance Sheet' at his September 2026 press conference?
Will Donald Trump mention cryptocurrency or Bitcoin during his 'Fly Out Day - Punchbowl News' interview?
Which key battleground state will have the highest VEP turnout in the 2026 midterms?
What was the US House of Representatives national popular vote margin in 2026?
By what date will AP project US House majority control in 2026 midterms?
When will AP call the 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial election outcome?
Will Kevin Warsh say "goods inflation" at his September 2026 press conference?
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Will the US and Iran announce a Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Will voters in at least one US state approve a new independent redistricting commission in the November 2026 election?
Who will have the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will Kevin Warsh say "Dollar" at his September 2026 press conference?
When will a North American transit agency or host city file a lawsuit or arbitration against FIFA over 2026 World Cup costs?
Will Kevin Warsh say "Volatility" at his September 2026 press conference?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil hike 25bps at the September meeting?
What was the interest rate cut by Brazil's COPOM in September 2026?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil maintain its current rate at the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut 25bps at the September meeting?
Will Kevin Warsh say 'Trump' at his September 2026 press conference?
Will JD Vance mention 'Iran' during his Fox News appearance on 2026-08-20?
Will Kevin Warsh say 'Unchanged' at his September 2026 press conference?
When will a US or Canadian court certify a class action lawsuit related to 2026 World Cup ticket fees or scalping?
How will FIFA's 'Ticketing' revenue for 2023-2026 compare to its budgeted target?
Will Kevin Warsh say "Central Bank" at his September 2026 press conference?
Will Kevin Warsh say "AI" at his September 2026 press conference?
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31, 2026?
When will Suge Knight take the witness stand in the Duane 'Keefe D' Davis trial?
Will Iran initiate a general airspace closure by August 31, 2026?
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?
Will any ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026, as reported by IMF PortWatch?
What was the Bank of England's interest rate hike in basis points at the September 2026 MPC meeting?
Will Kevin Warsh dissent at the September 2026 FOMC meeting?
Will Kevin Warsh mention 'National Debt' at his September 2026 press conference?
By what date will AP project the 2026 U.S. House majority?
Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 by August 31, 2026?
Will Kevin Warsh say "Crypto" at his Sep 2026 press conference?
When will Georgia surpass 1.5 million cumulative early votes for the 2026 general election?
What percentage of Maricopa County's ballots will be reported in first unofficial results on Election Night 2026?
Will Kevin Warsh say "softening" at his September 2026 press conference?
Who will win control of the US Senate in the 2026 Midterm Elections?
Who will control the US House and Senate after the 2026 midterms?
How many Republican seats in US House 2026 midterms?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its September 2026 meeting?
Will Donald Trump say "obliterate", "obliterated", or "obliteration" in Las Vegas by 2026-08-20?
Will Kevin Warsh say "Bitcoin" at his press conference on September 17, 2026?
Will Kevin Warsh say "QE" at his September 2026 press conference?
Will Iran charge Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil hike 50bps at the September meeting?
What was the interest rate hike in basis points at Brazil's September 2026 Central Bank meeting?
Will Kevin Warsh say "QT" at his September 2026 press conference?
Will Kevin Warsh say "Stagflation" at his September 2026 press conference?
When will Thames Valley Police announce permanent non-trial use of Live Facial Recognition?
Will the Bank of Japan maintain its current interest rate at the September 2026 meeting?
What was the Bank of England's MPC bank rate decision on September 18, 2026?