Politics Prediction Markets

Live and resolved Politics prediction markets on Prophecy. New markets appear here automatically as they're created.

Who will receive the most votes in the 2026 Gambian presidential election?
Who will win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish Congress of Deputies?
Who will receive the most votes in the 2026 Cape Verdean presidential election?
Will a formal draft resolution supporting Taiwan's participation in the UN system be officially tabled in UNGA 81 Main Committee or Plenary?
Will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution endorsing a peace framework or territorial integrity mandate for Ukraine during its 81st session by December 31, 2026?
Who will be approved as Sweden's prime minister in the 2026 Riksdag vote?
By what date will Länsstyrelsen Dalarna certify a successor for Mohamed Abdukardir Ali's seat?
Who will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia?
How many voting seats will Republicans hold in the 120th US House?
How many independent or third-party members will be in the 120th US House of Representatives?
How many PM voting rounds will Riksdag hold before 2026 winter recess?
By what date will the Riksdag hold its first successful Prime Ministerial vote after the 2026 election?
How many US House races will remain uncalled by AP as of Dec 1, 2026?
When will the DOJ file its first lawsuit regarding 2026 election certification?
Will the AP project a majority winner for the US House of Representatives by 12:00 PM ET on November 10, 2026?
Who will be elected Speaker of the US House of Representatives on the first ballot?
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold at start of 120th Congress?
Who will be the leader of the Swedish Moderate Party on January 1, 2027?
Will Center Party MPs vote Yes, No, Abstain, or not vote in the first PM confirmation vote?
By what date will the Riksdag confirm a new Prime Minister after the 2026 election?
Will the Riksdag adopt an opposition reservation for the 2027 state budget framework?
Will the Center Party hold a ministerial post in the first cabinet after the 2026 Swedish election?
Will Magdalena Andersson be the first candidate proposed for Prime Minister by the Speaker after the 2026 election?
When will the 2026 Riksdag confirm a Prime Minister?
Will a member of the Left Party (Vänsterpartiet) be appointed as a cabinet minister in the Swedish government formed after the 2026 Riksdag election?
When will Claudio Tapia's AFA presidency end?
Will the Center Party hold at least one ministerial post in the 2026-2030 Riksdag cabinet?
When will the next FOMC meeting have two or more dissenting votes?
When will Claudio Tapia permanently vacate the AFA Presidency?
Which UN Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General formally represent?
When will the Riksdag hold its first successful prime ministerial vote after the 2026 Swedish general election?
When will the Riksdag approve the first Prime Minister after the 2026 Swedish general election?
Will Lecce's Stadio Via del Mare be selected by FIGC as a Euro 2032 final host?
Who will be elected FIFA President at the 2027 FIFA Congress?
Will UEFA officially announce a boycott of a FIFA-organized tournament before January 1, 2027?
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General by gender and regional group?
Will the UN General Assembly appoint a female Secretary-General for the term beginning January 1, 2027?
When will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution recommending a candidate for UN Secretary-General?
How many UN Member States sponsored a draft resolution referencing a 'Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty' by December 31, 2026?
Will the Fifth Committee of the UN General Assembly formally conclude its main session by December 20, 2026?
What was the proposed expenditure limit for Utgiftsområde 14 in the 2027 Swedish Budget Bill?
Will a draft resolution for AI governance be tabled in UNGA 81 Committee by November 15, 2026?
When will the UN Security Council hold its next formal vote on Palestine's UN membership?
When will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution with 'Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty' during its 81st Session?
When will the first draft resolution on UN Security Council reform be published during the 81st Session?
By what date will the Riksdag approve a Prime Minister after the 2026 election?
How many UN Member States co-sponsored the LAWS resolution at UNGA 81 adoption?
How many Yes votes will the first Security Council reform resolution get at UNGA 81 by Dec 31, 2026?
When will the first judge-ordered full hand-count of a US county's 2026 general election ballots be officially completed?
How many UN member states will vote 'Yes' on the first 81st UNGA resolution for Palestine membership?
By what date will the US Supreme Court issue its first ruling on mail-in ballot signature verification in the 2026 election?
When will the U.S. Supreme Court issue its first emergency order on a 2026 election application involving the RNC or DNC?
Will Miljöpartiet make a formal public ultimatum against new nuclear power construction?
Who will elect the Senate Majority Leader at the 120th Congress?
By what date will the Riksdag elect a Prime Minister after the 2026 general election?
Who will win the first ballot for Speaker of the House in the 120th Congress?
By what date will the first official 2026 World Cup transit contract investigation be announced?
Will Miami-Dade County make 2026 World Cup transit lanes permanent before April 1, 2027?
How many UN Member States will co-sponsor the first AI governance resolution at the 81st UNGA?
Who will hold the highest UN status or voting rights as of Dec 31, 2026?
By what date will the UN General Assembly adopt the 2027 UN Secretary-General resolution?
What will FIFA report as 2026 World Cup ticketing and hospitality revenue?
By what date will the first automatic recount be triggered in 2026 U.S. elections?
Will a Full Funding Grant Agreement for the Inglewood Transit Connector be signed by December 31, 2026?
Will FIFA's 2026 Annual Report show ticketing and hospitality revenue for 2023-2026 below $3.0 billion?
When will FIFA publish its 2026 Annual Report?
Will any US state fail to certify 2026 midterm election results by December 18, 2026?
When will the Arizona Secretary of State sign the 2026 general election canvass?
Will an official FIFA member federation confirm a formal ethics complaint against FIFA President Gianni Infantino regarding 2026 World Cup logistics or legacy reporting by December 31, 2026?
Will the US DOJ or FTC file a formal federal antitrust lawsuit against a major 2026 World Cup ticketing vendor or FIFA by the end of 2027?
When will a US federal court grant class certification in a consumer lawsuit against FIFA or its ticketing partners over 2026 World Cup pricing?
Will FIFA publish the 2026 World Cup financial report before July 1, 2027?
When will the US DOT OIG announce its first audit into 2026 World Cup transit project delays?
When will a court order Florida to redraw its congressional map to restore a minority-access district in North Florida?
Will a US Federal Court certify a class-action lawsuit against FIFA or its ticketing partners over 2026 World Cup ticket sales?
When will an election official first refuse to certify November 2026 election results?
Will the FIFA World Cup 26 joint committee report be published by December 31, 2026?
Will LA Metro formally approve permanent retention of 2026 World Cup transit services?
When will the US FTC or DOJ announce an antitrust investigation into 2026 World Cup ticketing?
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup match have an attendance ratio under 90% according to a report?
By what date will Arlington or Dallas vote to make 2026 World Cup transit corridors permanent?
How many LA Metro transit executives or board members will resign, be fired, or step down by December 31, 2026?
Will FIFA announce a policy limiting maximum ticket prices or banning dynamic pricing for the 2030 World Cup before July 1, 2027?
Will an Arizona court mandate a full hand recount for a contested Maricopa County 2026 primary race?
How many stations on Mexico City's Metro Line 1 were open on January 1, 2027?
What will be the status of the Inglewood Transit Connector DBFOM contract by December 31, 2026?
Which regulatory or legal event targeting sports ticketing will occur first in the US after the 2026 World Cup?
Will a class-action lawsuit regarding 2026 World Cup ticket sales be filed against FIFA or its partners in US Federal Court by 2027?
When will Meta mandate government-issued ID for Instagram age verification in a US state?
When will the European Commission first announce a formal non-compliance decision or fine against Meta regarding its 'Pay or Consent' model?
Which states will first order a 2026 federal election recount?
When will the final U.S. state certify 2026 Midterms election results?
Will the European Commission fine Meta €1 billion or more under the DSA before January 1, 2027?
Which major regulatory action will Meta face first from US or EU authorities before January 1, 2028?
Will Gloucester Township Public Schools adopt an opt-in or restricted-access policy for elementary library materials by December 31, 2026?
Who will control the U.S. House and win the popular vote in 2026?
Which abortion-related legal conflict will be first to get SCOTUS cert in 2026-2027?
By what date will SCOTUS take first merits action on interstate abortion travel restriction petition?
What will be the furthest step toward a full hand-count of the 2026 Arizona General Election?
Will California expand 'gravely disabled' definition for involuntary commitment beyond SB 43 by December 31, 2027?