Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal (7-day moving average of transit calls >= 60) by July 15, 2026?

Q: Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal (7-day moving average of transit calls >= 60) by July 15, 2026?

Traders currently price this market at 60% YES and 40% NO. So far 500.0 PST has been traded.

Q: When does "Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal (7-day moving average of transit calls >= 60) by July 15, 2026?" close?

Trading closes on July 15, 2026 at 12:02 AM UTC (19d 16h remaining). The outcome is then resolved automatically by Prophecy's AI resolver.

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Ends in

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500 PST

About this market

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal (7-day moving average of transit calls >= 60) by July 15, 2026? is a politics prediction market on Prophecy. Trading is open with 19d 16h remaining and closes on July 15, 2026 at 12:02 AM UTC, after which it is resolved automatically.

This is a Yes/No market. Traders currently price the outcome at 60% Yes and 40% No, a live read on how likely the event is.

Resolution sources: portwatch.imf.org, hormuzmonitor.com.