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US elections Prediction Markets

Live and resolved prediction markets about US elections. New markets appear here automatically as they're created.

  • How many U.S. House districts had only one major party candidate on the general election ballot in November 2026?
  • Who will control the U.S. House and win the popular vote in 2026?
  • What was the net seat change for the Democratic Party in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
  • Will any US state begin early in-person voting for the 2026 general election on or before September 30?
  • Will registered Republicans cast more early and mail ballots than Democrats in Nevada before 2026 Election Day?
  • When will a federal appellate court or U.S. Supreme Court issue a ruling or emergency stay on ballot drop box access in a key swing state for the 2026 midterms?
  • What was the VEP voter turnout rate in the 2026 US midterm elections?
  • Will the US Supreme Court's October Term 2026 formally begin on October 5, 2026?
  • Which abortion-related legal conflict will be first to get SCOTUS cert in 2026-2027?
  • By what date will a federal court first grant an injunction to halt a state's voter roll purge program?
  • When will first Pennsylvania county begin dispatching 2026 general election mail-in ballots?
  • Will the US Supreme Court issue an emergency ruling on ballot drop boxes before Election Day 2026?
  • What will the DCCC and NRCC's total Q3 2026 FEC receipts be?
  • When will Trump hold first rally between Aug 8 and Nov 3, 2026, in a state with Republican senator not attending?
  • Who will overturn an August 2026 primary initial winner at which government level?
  • Which federal court will issue the highest ruling on a 2026 midterm election certification dispute by year-end 2026?
  • By what date will the final 2026 midterm statewide race be certified?
  • Will HHS be funded by a CR on October 1, 2026?
  • Which states will tie homelessness funding to encampment sweeps by March 31, 2027?
  • Will a US Federal Court of Appeals or the US Supreme Court issue an order restricting or banning ballot drop boxes for the 2026 general election on or before November 3, 2026?
  • Will the total early votes (mail and in-person) in 2026 US midterms be >= 42 million?
  • What was the percentage of total early and absentee votes in the 2026 US midterms cast by voters ages 18-29 nationally?
  • By which date will 30 million early votes be recorded in 2026 US midterms?
  • Which key battleground state will have the highest VEP turnout in the 2026 midterms?
  • What was the US House of Representatives national popular vote margin in 2026?
  • By what date will AP project US House majority control in 2026 midterms?
  • When will AP call the 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial election outcome?
  • Will voters in at least one US state approve a new independent redistricting commission in the November 2026 election?
  • Who will have the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?
  • By what date will AP project the 2026 U.S. House majority?
  • When will Georgia surpass 1.5 million cumulative early votes for the 2026 general election?
  • Who will win control of the US Senate in the 2026 Midterm Elections?
  • Who will control the US House and Senate after the 2026 midterms?
  • How many Republican seats in US House 2026 midterms?
  • Will any US state change congressional district maps before November 3, 2026?
  • Will the U.S. Census Bureau publish updated congressional apportionment counts before January 1, 2027?
  • Will a Democrat win Louisiana's 6th Congressional District in the 2026 midterms?
  • By what date will AP project majority control of the US House of Representatives in 2026?
  • Who will control the House and Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?
  • What will the Republican candidate's vote share be in the 2026 Pennsylvania US Senate election?
  • When will AP call the 2026 Pennsylvania Senate race?
  • Who will control the House and Senate after the 2026 US midterm elections?
  • Who will control the House and Senate after the 2026 Midterm Elections?
  • What was the total number of Republican Party voting House seats won in the 2026 U.S. House elections?
  • Will David Valadao win reelection to U.S. House, CA-22 in 2026?
  • What percentage of votes did the Republican nominee get in NE-02 2026 election?
  • How many U.S. House seats will Democrats win in New York in 2026?
  • What was the highest AP-BVAP percentage in any Florida district with Duval or Leon counties in 2028?
  • How many majority-Black congressional districts will Louisiana have in November 2028?
  • Will Donald Trump cease to be President of the US by August 31, 2026?
  • Will Donald Trump mention Fauci during the August 15, 2026 Cabinet Meeting?
  • Who will win the Clacton by-election?
  • Will Donald Trump and the Prime Minister of Israel discuss peace in the Middle East?
  • Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
  • Will the UK government announce a snap election before September 1, 2026?
  • Will Donald Trump issue a statement calling for John Thune to resign, step down, be replaced, or removed from Senate Majority Leader before Sep 1, 2026?
  • Will Sara Duterte be out as VP of the Philippines before September 1, 2026?
  • Will Venezuela hold a presidential election before September 1, 2026?
  • Will Donald Trump issue an executive action on a national emergency related to the 2026 US midterm election before September 1, 2026?
  • Will Ruben Gallego be out as Senator before September 1, 2026?
  • Will any witness say 'China' or 'Chinese' in Senate Aging hearing on foreign drug supply?
  • Will Donald Trump say "Rigged Election" during his Fox News: Special Report on July 29, 2026?
  • Will Donald Trump make a statement during the Bilateral Meeting with the President of the Republic of Turkey?
  • Will Donald Trump mention the F-35 fighter jet program during his meeting with Turkey's president?
  • Will Donald Trump say 'Russia' or 'Russian' during the Bilateral Meeting with Turkey's President?
  • Will Donald Trump endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before August 18, 2026?
  • Will Candace Owens endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before August 18, 2026?