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AI benchmarks Prediction Markets

Live and resolved prediction markets about AI benchmarks. New markets appear here automatically as they're created.

  • Who will have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
  • Who will own the AI model with the second-highest rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Will Mistral have the #1 AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Which company will have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
  • Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?
  • Who will own the AI model with the second-highest arena rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Which company will have the highest-ranked Math AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on July 31, 2026?
  • Will xAI have the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of July 2026?
  • Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
  • Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
  • Will Anthropic have the third best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Which company will have the highest-ranked Chinese AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on July 31, 2026?
  • Which company will have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
  • Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
  • Will Meta have the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Will Google have the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Which company will own the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on July 31, 2026?
  • Which company will have the best Math AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Which company will have the highest-ranked Chinese AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Which company will have the highest-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
  • Which company will have the best AI model according to the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on July 31, 2026?
  • Which company will have the best AI model at the end of July 2026, according to the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?
  • Who will win the eero 400 NASCAR race?