AI benchmarks Prediction Markets

Live and resolved prediction markets about AI benchmarks. New markets appear here automatically as they're created.

Which AI model will be ranked highest on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on August 24, 2026?
Which AI model will be ranked highest on arena.ai Text Arena on August 10, 2026?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil hike 25bps at the September meeting?
What was the interest rate cut by Brazil's COPOM in September 2026?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil maintain its current rate at the September 2026 meeting?
Who will have the best AI model on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on August 31, 2026?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its September 2026 meeting?
Will the Central Bank of Brazil hike 50bps at the September meeting?
What was the interest rate hike in basis points at Brazil's September 2026 Central Bank meeting?
Which company will have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
Will Claude Opus 5 Max be the top-ranked AI model on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on August 17, 2026?
Who will have the best Chinese AI model on arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard on August 31, 2026?
Who will have the best AI model on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on August 31, 2026?
Who will have the highest-ranked Chinese AI model on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard at the end of August 2026?
Which company will have the best AI model on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard at the end of August 2026?
Which AI model will be ranked highest on arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on August 10, 2026?
Will Claude Opus 4-6 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Who will have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Which company will have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Who will have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Who will have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Who will own the AI model with the second-highest rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Which company will have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Who will own the AI model with the second-highest arena rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked Math AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on July 31, 2026?
Will xAI have the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Which company will have the highest-ranked Chinese AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on July 31, 2026?
Which company will have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?