Resolved
This market resolved No on May 7, 2026 at 11:31 AM UTC.
The market asked: "Will a confirmed impact by a 'Potentially Hazardous Asteroid' on Earth occur before 10:31 AM GMT on May 7, 2026?". It resolved No. The outcome was determined automatically by Prophecy's AI resolver against the rule: This market will resolve to YES if credible scientific sources (such as NASA, ESA, JPL, or the Minor Planet Center) explicitly confirm that an asteroid officially classified as 'potentially hazardous' has impacted Earth before the market's closing time. In the absence of such a confirmation from these designated sources, the market will resolve to NO. Unverified reports, social media claims, or speculation will be ignored. A total of 6172.8 PST was traded on this market.
Market Definition
How your trade gets resolved
Resolved algorithmically — independent sources are checked on-chain against this market’s criteria, with no human deciding the outcome.
Will a confirmed impact by a 'Potentially Hazardous Asteroid' on Earth occur before 10:31 AM GMT on May 7, 2026? is a science prediction market on Prophecy, created by byla. Trading has closed and the market has settled — the result is shown above.
This was a Yes/No market. It settled No.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to YES if credible scientific sources (such as NASA, ESA, JPL, or the Minor Planet Center) explicitly confirm that an asteroid officially classified as 'potentially hazardous' has impacted Earth before the market's closing time. In the absence of such a confirmation from these designated sources, the market will resolve to NO. Unverified reports, social media claims, or speculation will be ignored. Prophecy markets are settled by an AI resolver that reads independent public sources — no human decides the outcome.
Resolution sources: cneos.jpl.nasa.gov, neo.ssa.esa.int, minorplanetcenter.net, news.google.com.
